Again the point you are missing is that those are not the only 2 possible outcomes, they are simply the best outcomes by which to base a choice. If you are playing craps you can't possibly know what the outcome will be but you know it's a better decision to choose red or black than ...Orange?
First you claimed that it was not a dichotomy; now you are presenting the craps situation, which is in fact a dichotomy. Which is it?
Do you even understand Pascal's wager? Even Wikipedia gets it better than you do.
To re-iterate for the third time now:
Pascal's Wager says that it is better to believe in god because there is a reward if he exists, and no punishment if he does not. However, Pascal's Wager is false in assuming that a reward exists for belief, as this is not an established fact outside of religious dogma.
So really, the game we're playing has far, far more options than just red and black to choose from, any of which may be correct. The mistake Pascal's Wager makes is assuming that only red and black are possibilities.
aquinas yes paley no. The arguement isn't actually that things are so complex that they require a designer, but that some things cannot happen from pure chance and require conscious input, which is of course just as speculative as anything.
Have you read Behe's argument?
Step 1: Things in life are irreducibly complex.
Step 2: Complex systems require a designer.
Step 3: The complex things in life require a designer.
The designer is the conscious input that you're talking about. You're saying the same thing I am but you think you're saying something different.
Exactly, but yet while this argument is not any less supported than the argument that your chair will hold your weight, yet you believe it. My point is that in theoretical rhetoric, skepticism has a tenancy to reinforce the skeptic. A problem that has plagued man kind throughout history.
You are just full of nonsense today, aren't you?
I have experienced chairs before. I know my weight. I can form a belief with respect to the chair holding my weight strictly on empirical evidence.
I think you're having a hard time understanding the difference between "equipossible" and "equiprobable".
From a certain point of view, but i would go farther to say that all things are irreducibly complex. I remember distinctly in elementary science, we were being taught about atoms, and that they are made from protons, neutrons and electrons. I raised my hand and asked "what are they made of?" I got the answer "nothing they are the smallest parts you can't get any smaller." we now know this to be false, and there is no smallest level. It would seem that all things are indeed infinitely complex. and we are simply swimming upstream on an eternal river trying to discover the end that doesn't exist.
What you have actually argued is that all things are a function of increasingly smaller parts. This is nothing at all like irreducible complexity; irreducible complexity argues that if one part is missing, everything left has no function. That is not even remotely similar to the question of scale that you're posing.
wrong, you turned my own argument on me. My point is that everything YOU believe is based on the fact you cannot prove otherwise. how am i different? for that matter how would you be different if you believed what i do? you simply would not.
You are, once again, missing the point. Negative evidence alone is insufficient, because it opens you to believing in everything, especially the most ludicrous claims; my beliefs are based on positive evidence. Certainly the positive evidence may not be exactly correct, but I can achieve operative certainty based on probability based on logical empiricism.
Gravity is a relatively completely unknown force, if you can figure out what causes it you'll probably win a nobel prize. but if you would like an example. gravity makes movement and digestion require more energy. Therefore requiring more cellular respiration expediting the decay of the organism. You must eat more food to stay alive because of gravity. Everything fights life in one way or another, the path of least resistance is for life to die out and not come back. why does it not, evolution being a natural force would not alone counteract "nature"
That's a slippery slope fallacy. To use the analogy of a circuit, the fact that there is some resistance in the circuit does not mean that there shouldn't be any current able to pass through. If the forces that give rise to life outweigh the forces that resist it, life will carry on.