mokedaddy
5,000+ posts
professional idiot
There will be no more oil in 2009 //content.invisioncic.com/y282845/emoticons/fyi.gif.9f1f679348da7204ce960cfc74bca8e0.gif
i refuse to laugh at that worn out joke.I refuse to vote in a poll that does not have "Supas Mom" as an option.
I actually caught a show on history channel this morning in regards to this. There is also a good amount of oil in the North Texas shale. It also touched on the state of OPEC and how Saudi overproduced for so long to keep prices low against everyone else and how they are trying to get that going again.The Saudis want oil to return to ~$80 per barrel by 2009. They are ramping up production dramatically and will be trying to convince the other OPEC nations to do the same.
Why? Well, for the first time in forever demand in the USA decreased. It is in their best interest to stifle the development of alternatives and they know that high prices will only speed that up.
Not to mention some pretty vast domestic supplies that are not tapped - Colorado shale and medium grade crude. They have ways to get the shale oil out but, get this, the government doesn't have funding set aside to develop a program to lease land to the oil companies (see most recent Businessweek for this information). Same for the medium grade crude out there (quite a bit)... the government has capped the rates pipelines can charge to move oil so nobody will build a pipeline to it. (same Businessweek article). If these obvious and stupid hurdles are removed we'll have quite a bit of oil coming out of the ground for 30-50 bucks a barrel.
So... I think that prices will come down a bit more to what the fundamentals are calling for and many of the speculators are going to get hosed due to buying futures at well over 100 bucks a barrel.
Interesting thought on what oil valued that high would do for the industrialization of those countries...Thanks Jacob, glad someone besides me on this forum believes the bubble will burst. India and China cannot afford large scale $130bbl oil forever.