Realistically the coil in that can hold 1200W continuous power tops. Even at, say, 20% more power, (1500W) you start building up heat very quickly compared to how fast it can cool. You very well may have some frequency ranges where the sub is seeing over 1000W.
As far as reaching x-max with a single 15 at 40hz that's tough. The port provides plenty of spring/control right @ tuning but unloads outside of that. Obviously as you approach 50 the cone just doesn't need to move as far so it's a non issue.
Try this. Cut up 2 and a half 8 foot 2X4's into blocks the length of one side of your box and screw them in there to take up appx .75 cube (a 2x4 is .29 cubic feet). This will get you closer to the 3.5 cube you think you'll like and also raise tuning for you a bit (best to plug it into some software.... I'm not on a Windows OS now so I can't double check). Ideally if you never play below 32, 40 or 42hz tuning and setting subsonic filter @ 32-34 should let you really wang without running into trouble... tweak subsonic accordingly testing lower frequencies. Between the smaller box and higher tuning it should solve your mechanical issues. You're still stuck with thermal limits of that coil, but with that power you can simply turn it down or play less bass heavy songs if it starts getting stinky until it cools down. You should have a minute or two between smelling it and failure to ease back a bit.
Also bear in mind that you will be going from just fine to hard clip really fast as you're pushing things to the limit which speeds up the heat issues. Consider your amp is making 33V..... (2200W into .5 ohm) and you're chugging along just fine. They give it one more click on the volume knob, you're now asking the amp to make 3100W (likely putting it into a pretty hard clip). That's how fast you can get into trouble!
Anyway, buy a few 2X4's and give that a whirl. Under 10$ and a half an hour to see what 3.5 cube tuned a little higher sounds like.