I never said he would go to shit. Again you pulling things out of context and inserting your own garbage. Since when is a 4+ ERA bad? Low 4's is pretty darn good, anything 5 and above is considered high. It's not that I think Verlander will go to shit, I just think he is going to get tired. He has never pitched this many innings before. When you get tired you tend to leave pitches up in the zone and your breaking pitches hang. What happens to those pitches? They get hit hard. Not to mention batters are still adjusting to Verlander, they haven't faced him that many times. Scouts probably have a lot more info on his tendencies now than they did before. No matter what you think, you have to believe that his arm is going to get tired eventually. The most innings he's pitched in a season is 130 I believe. So around the 150 or 160 mark, it's quite possible he'll start to get tired and could develop some bad habits.