Bird Flu Virus

I've survived the Ebola virus, Hanta virus, West Nile virus, SARS, and so on.

I'll survive this mysterious bird flu that might adapt and kill us //content.invisioncic.com/y282845/emoticons/rolleyes.gif.c1fef805e9d1464d377451cd5bc18bfb.gif

Innate + aquired immunity FTW.

 
The media is //content.invisioncic.com/y282845/emoticons/crazy.gif.c13912c32de98515d3142759a824dae7.gif :crazy: //content.invisioncic.com/y282845/emoticons/crazy.gif.c13912c32de98515d3142759a824dae7.gif about pandemics.. Keep this in mind though... if it DID make the jump the fatailty rate would only be like 20%. So if it made the jump, came to america and infect 1/2 of the population of around 300mil then you'd have 150mil sick people (probably way more than would actually get sick in a real world situation). Then only 30mil would die. It would be like this massive pandemic coming and only killing of everyone in cali. Leaving 49 states untouched which wouldn't be such a bad thing as long as my sister and nephew got out in time...... as well as all the cali resident from this board //content.invisioncic.com/y282845/emoticons/smile.gif.1ebc41e1811405b213edfc4622c41e27.gif... in any case even overestimating the likely damage it's not like playing russian roulete with a single shot by any means... chances are you'd survive with a 1-2week bout with the flu.... 20k people die every year from the flu anyways...

 
another good comparison would be Katrina... remember the 10k body bags waiting this calamity... only 1056 died and they were mostly the super poor, elderly, and already dieing types... same will happen with bird flu.... it's all hysteria, try not to let it get to you....

 
The bird flu is kind of a tricky situation, that they're blowing some parts out of proportion on.

First, the virus is carried by birds, and cannot be transferred to huans readily. Secondly, and most importantly, it can not transfer human to human right now.

Now, there is a chance that it could mutate to a human to human virus, which would be horrible....BUT if this happens, you also need it to mutate into a virus that can be spread airbourne from human to human in order for any panic.

Okay, so assuming it mutates into a form that is transfered via air - from human to human - you will have a catastrophe on your hands, and potentially millions upon millions dead.

It is nothing like the Katrina predictions, the estimates are low if anything. Plagues have occurred in the world before, and they will again. A plague becomes a plague when the people are not able to properly treat the disease fast enough to stop the spread....which is exactly what will happen if the virus mutates to the point noted above.

This is the part that the media is blowing out of porportion: tamiflu (and other related treatments). Tamiflu *slightly* treats the strain of bird flu that is currently in animals. There is no evidence to suggest that it will have any effect on a strain that would affect humans...and there is no way to predict how the strain will mutate - thus NO way to create a vaccination. The media spends a lot of time telling us there's not enough vaccines for everyone...but they fail to include the part - the reason scientists and doctors predict massive death rates - that the vaccines we do have are most likely completely ineffective against a virus that would cause worry.

So esentially don't worry much. If the virus does mutate enough...there's probably a 1 in 10-20 or so chance that you'll die, and there's absolutely nothing you can do about it, now - or later.

 
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